Colin Wright <cdwright@gwi.net>
2009-08-03
1.0
Forecast
What is a Forecast?
In &kappname;, a Forecast is a prediction of the balances of Accounts during a
specified future period of time.
Forecasts can be predicted using one of two methods.
Scheduled and Future Transactions
&kappname; uses a combination of future transactions already entered
into the ledgers and the entries in the Schedule.
History-based
&kappname; uses values from past transactions in the ledgers to
predict future transactions.
The forecast method and forecast period can be set in the &kappname; Settings,
in the Forecast pane.
&kappname; Forecast provides a summary, showing the predicted balances at
account cycle dates and the expected difference between the starting and
ending balances. The length of the account cycle can be set by the user. The
summary also displays messages about significant predicted changes to the
accounts during the forecast period.
As well as the summary, &kappname; Forecast also allows you to view day-by-day
balances and view the minimum and maximum balances for each forecast account
cycle.
By default the Forecast is created for 90-days, with 30-day account cycles
using Scheduled and Future Transactions.
Viewing Forecasts
You can view a Forecast by clicking the appropriate icon in the navigation
pane at the left hand side of your &kappname; window.
The Forecast window is split into three tabs
Summary Tab
The Summary tab is split vertically into two halves.
Account Summary
The Account Summary contains a grid displaying a row of information for each
Asset and Liability.
The following columns are displayed:
Account
The name of the Asset or Liability account
Current Balance (Current)
The current balance of the account is displayed.
Account Cycle Balance
The Forecast period is split into account cycles. The default
account cycle length is 30 days, but can be set by the user.
The first account cycle date is the first Forecast date. By default
this is the current date plus one account cycle, but can change
depending on the "Day of Month to start Forecast" setting.
Remaining account cycle dates are determined by adding the account
cycle length to the previous account cycle date. This is continued
until the calculated account cycle date would be beyond the Forecast
period.
For each account cycle date the predicted balance is
displayed.
Total Variation
The rightmost column displays the predicted difference in value
between the balances at the start and end of the forecast. If the
predicted end value of the account (in terms of net worth) is less than
the start value the whole row is highlighted in red.
Key Summary Information
The bottom half of the Summary tab displays noteworthy information about
accounts. This includes:
Assets below zero
A message is displayed for any asset for which the value starts or
will drop below zero during the forecast period.
Liabilities above zero
A message is displayed for any liability for which the value starts
or will rise above zero during the forecast period. Note that the value
of a liability is the negative of its ledger balance, since a positive
balance indicates money owed.
Details Tab
The Details tab contains a grid displaying a row of information for each Asset
and Liability.
Account
The name of the Asset or Liability account
Dates
For each date in the Forecast period a column displays the predicted
balance of the account on that date. The date columns are in ascending
order from left to right.
Total Variation
The rightmost column displays the predicted difference in value
between the balances at the start and end of the forecast. If the
predicted end value of the account (in terms of net worth) is less than
the start value the whole row is highlighted in red.
Advanced Tab
The Advanced tab contains a grid displaying a row of information for each
Asset and Liability. The information is split into columns as follows:
Account
The name of the Asset or Liability account
Minimum Account Cycle Balance
For each account cycle number <n> in the Forecast period
the following columns are displayed:
Minimum Balance (Min Bal <n>)
The minimum predicted balance during the account cycle
Minimum Balance Date (Min Date <n>)
The date on which the balance reaches its predicted
minimum.
Maximum Account Cycle Balance
For each account cycle number <n> in the Forecast period
the following columns are displayed:
Maximum Balance (Max Bal <n>)
The maximum predicted balance during the account cycle
Maximum Balance Date (Max Date <n>)
The date on which the balance reaches its predicted
maximum.
Average
The average balance of the account during the forecast period